摘要

This market report provides a series of forecasts for subscriber growth in selected markets in Asia. It predominantly covers the fixed-line, Internet and mobile subscriber market segments in 15 countries across Asia. It is noted that our report has focused on developing economies in the region where the main segments of the markets are still very much in their basic subscriber growth phases. The forecasts cover a range of periods with some commencing in 2006 and most forecasting ending in 2017.

The countries covered include:

Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Georgia, Indonesia, India, Kazakhstan, Laos, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Uzbekistan, Vietnam.

The report includes what BuddeComm terms scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect subscriber growth to occur. The associated text describes what we see as the most likely growth trend within the identified band. The actual forecasts are summarised in a series of tables. A set of sample tables are included below, these being the actual scenario forecasts for India to 2017. The projections shown in the tables in this report are based on our own historical information, as well as on telecommunication sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data. All statistics for GDP, revenue, etc, are shown in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.


目录及图表

1. Afghanistan

1.1 Forecast overview

1.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016

1.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016

1.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016

2. Azerbaijan


2.1 Forecast overview

2.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

2.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

2.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

3. Bangladesh

3.1 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016

3.2 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016

3.3 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016

4. Cambodia

4.1 Forecast overview

4.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016

4.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016

4.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016

5. Georgia

5.1 Forecast overview

5.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

5.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

5.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

6. Indonesia

6.1 Forecast overview

6.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

6.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

6.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

7. India

7.1 Forecast overview

7.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

7.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

7.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

8. Kazakhstan

8.1 Forecast overview

8.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

8.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

8.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

9. Laos

9.1 Forecast overview

9.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016

9.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016

9.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016

10. Nepal

10.1 Forecast overview

10.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

10.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

10.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

11. Pakistan

11.1 Forecast overview

11.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

11.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

11.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

12. Sri Lanka

12.1 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2016

12.2 Forecasts – Internet services to 2016

12.3 Forecasts – mobile market to 2016

13. Thailand

13.1 Forecast overview

13.2 Forecasts – fixed-line services to 2017

13.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

13.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

14. Uzbekistan

14.1 Forecast overview

14.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

14.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

14.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

15. Vietnam

15.1 Forecast overview

15.2 Forecasts – fixed-line market to 2017

15.3 Forecasts – Internet services to 2017

15.4 Forecasts – mobile market to 2017

16. Glossary of Abbreviations